From : Robert Ward <eiu_enquiries@eiu.com>
To : David Sergeenko
Subject : EIU Newsletter
Received On : 25.05.2018 08:06
 
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Intelligent thinking
 
A monthly update featuring a selection of the latest news and analysis from The EIU's experts.
 
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Global forecast: June 2018
 
In our latest global outlook video, Director of Global Forecasting John Ferguson, Senior Commodities Analyst Cailin Birch and Director of Country Risk Service Felix Delbrück discuss risk in emerging economies and the economic outlook for Argentina, Turkey and Iran.
 
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Economic and political analysis
 
2018 will be characterised by tightening monetary policy and credit conditions, increasing risks to global trade, and deeper geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.
On May 8th the US president, Donald Trump, announced he would withdraw the country from the Iran nuclear deal and reimpose all nuclear-related sanctions on Iran in six months' time.

Following the US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, the EU, alongside Russia and China, has declared that it is "committed" to saving the agreement.
The impact of these proposals is likely to be muted by a lengthy implementation timeline and other onerous regulatory requirements, suggesting that China's financial services will not see a surge in foreign investment.

An evaluation of the likely outcome of presidential elections in the country.


Latin America's major currencies have weakened by between 5% and 20% in recent weeks as investors have shunned emerging markets amid the ongoing withdrawal of monetary stimulus by OECD countries.


We forecast that total FDI inflows into the EU11 will average US$49.3bn per year in 2018‑22. These totals represent higher growth rates in FDI inflows than for the other emerging-market regions.


 
 
Popular webinars
 
 
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After Trump's announcement to pull the US out of the international nuclear deal with Iran, this webinar outlines the impact of this decision on the country and the wider region.

 
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This webinar provides our outlook for Argentina in the next year and beyond.

 
 
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Latest white papers
 
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This report examines the scenario of Trump pulling out of the international nuclear deal with Iran and leading nations.

 
 
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This report compares over 400 individual prices across 160 products and services to measure the cost of living in over 130 cities worldwide.

 
 
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This report examines the recent global trade dispute between the US and China, discussing the potential outcomes as well as our forecast on global trade growth.
 
 
 
 
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