| From : | David Rolph <David_Rolph@abtassoc.com> |
| To : | All Staff International <All_Staff_International@abtassoc.com> |
| Subject : | 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: May 30 2013 |
| Received On : | 30.05.2013 20:41 |
| Attachments : |
For those who might be planning travel this Summer/Fall or are otherwise interested, this circular from our insurance provider (Willis) indicates that even after 3 consecutive years with 19 named storms each year, we can expect little relief or change. Should be another very active hurricane season (June through November).
David Rolph
Director of Global Security
Abt Associates
301-347-5684 (Office)
703-244-3672 (Cell)
2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: May 30 2013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This seasonal forecast briefing is the first in a series to be released as new information becomes available. In this document, we provide an initial overview of how the season appears to be shaping up. Future briefings will provide more specific forecast information from additional organizations. The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season has a hard act to follow: 3 consecutive years with 19 named storms each. But because the major climate signals have not changed significantly this year, we have every reason to expect this run of high activity to continue into this season. Click here for more details.
1Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) is calculated as the sum of the square of the maximum wind speed in each 6-hour period during the life of a tropical cyclone from the time it reaches tropical storm strength (wind speeds ≥ 65 kmph (39 mph)) in units of 104; ACE = 10-4∑v2max, where v is measured in knots 2 The NOAA/GFDL hybrid (statistical-dynamical) hurricane forecast system is not an official outlook. This is a research product on the continued verification and evaluation of an experimental forecast system. NOAA/GFDL make these experimental forecast results available in order to facilitate and motivate research and discussion on the topic of long-lead seasonal hurricane forecasts. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||