Subject: TwentySixteen: Early Stumbles as GOP Candidates Look to California
From: Karyn Bruggeman <[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Date: Fri, 29 Apr 2016 06:10:07 -0600

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The Lead
Donald Trump held his first rally in California Thursday night, and things were chaotic: "Hundreds of demonstrators filled the street outside the Orange County amphitheater where ...Trump held a rally Thursday night, stomping on cars, hurling rocks at motorists and forcefully declaring their opposition to the Republican presidential candidate. Traffic came to a halt as a boisterous crowd walked in the roadway, some waving American and Mexican flags. Protesters smashed a window on at least one police cruiser, punctured the tires of a police sport utility vehicle, and at one point tried to flip a police car." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40ca440c5cdca746c6b01b25e4abcd91dbc46fd11ed7f6e5f23 
Los Angeles Times)

Ted Cruz's pick of Carly Fiorina on it's face could offer him a boost in California, "[b]ut as Fiorina makes her California debut at the state GOP convention this weekend as a part the Cruz-Fiorina ticket, she will arrive in her old stomping grounds with virtually no political infrastructure or network to tap, according to numerous GOP operatives in the state who both support and oppose Cruz. That's largely because after her 2010 loss to" Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), "the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive quickly dismantled her political machinery, moved across the country to Virginia and didn't pay off all her debts to vendors and strategists for more than four years." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c45227a645dcb6da7f7f378921d96a820f45b52e4b1ab034e 
Politico)

INDIANA UPDATES: The Indianapolis Star offered lukewarm endorsements of John Kasichand Hillary Clinton. The paper wrote: "It's unfortunate, in a nation of 320 million people, that voters must choose the next American president from the disappointing field of candidates now competing in the Democratic and Republican primaries." The paper also knocked Kasich for cutting "a disappointing deal with Cruz." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40cf1a41ba52cdf1d04553a74dee3692da2ab37119a96c551b9 
Indianapolis Star) Cruz is airing a new 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c1595a8267bbcf9a8d0c8b36fa578f72a349ee8db3b1dcd55 
TV ad  introducing Fiorina as his vice presidential pick. In the ad Fiorina says Cruz "is a conservative. A fearless defender of the Constitution who's taken on Washington and won." The ad is running statewide in Indiana, according to a release from the campaign. (release)  The pro-Cruz Trusted Leadership PAC is also up with a new Carly-themed 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40cec405bbec4b355cd11c6b7944803955078ce13ea45deda53 
ad . The super PAC is adding $350,000 to their Indiana ad buy for the spot. (release)

SHIFTING CRITICISM: "Bernie Sanders spent Thursday afternoon laying out in more detail than usual his views for shaping the Democratic Party's agenda and the need for elected officials to focus on achieving progressive political goals. The change in his campaign tone - focusing less on attacking Hillary Clinton - comes as the Vermont senator lays off staff members after several tough losses on Tuesday. Though ... Sanders remains adamant that he wants to win the Democratic presidential nomination, his shift hints that the senator is looking past the nominating fight and toward a future role in shaping the party." "He ... said the party needed to focus on a '50-state strategy' to win local elections and bring in new members," by pursuing reforms including automatic voter registration.(
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40cd19f802d2095edff41a3f25756f1a375d6192e7337e25786 
New York Times) Sanders also sat down for an interview with the 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40cf294697a35af397506e549e076ce36c41a77267e1de9c2eb 
Washington Post. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), the only Senator who endorsed Sanders, said Sanders should drop out if "he's losing to ... Clinton after the primary season concludes in June." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40ccfeaffb13ea980fe221b24d101dac6dd5074b5e4c2f4bfb3 
CNN )

TRUMP FATIGUE: "Throughout the Republican Party, from New Hampshire to Florida to California, many leaders, operatives, donors and activists arrived this week at the conclusion they had been hoping to thwart or at least delay: Donald Trump will be their presidential nominee. ... The party is at a turning point. Republican stalwarts opposed to Trump remain fearful of the damage the unconventional and unruly billionaire might inflict on the party's down-ballot candidates in November. But many also now see him as the all-but-certain nominee and are exhausted by the prospect of a contested July convention." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40ce76a67d2916aa4da399329a572c09b748054556cd8bd6432 
Washington Post)

NUMBER OF THE DAY: $166 million. The amount Sanders has spent on his campaign, more than any other candidate, according to the 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40cac837a826dc74f728303a5ad1819b18338f8967e9add8e7f 
Washington Post . 

http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c52a25b7c5e2598e5c60c1a3909ce1091923a860759f38e42 
Travel Tracker
Cruz is campaigning in Indiana.

Kasich is holding a town hall in San Francisco, and will attend the California GOP Convention, which Trump is also attending today. Cruz will speak at the gathering on Saturday.

Trail Mix 
Absent a presidential nominee to focus on, the RNC is using competitive Senate races to motivate donors to give. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c5dcd9111ffdde61079e61e5051fa1d050ab1620dd484d8e1 
National Journal)

"Jeb Bush said he had no regrets ... about his failed presidential bid, saying in his first interview since leaving the race that Donald Trump could still lose the nomination fight." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40ceb18c965cf3ab7fd56209def68b3c182098b663a9a042024 
CNN )

A poll in Oregon from the Hoffman Research Group shows Trump leading with 43%, followed by Cruz at 26% and Kasich at 17%. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40caba2bd42fcc79c9f9879726e550b6d6ea07e57941249b83c 
Oregon Public Broadcasting )

Clinton "is no longer airing advertisements in the Democratic presidential contest, according to ad-spending data from SMG Delta, reflecting how the campaign is pivoting more and more to the general election." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c40ba82c92bf2b29fc5e21b1a4e0eb7aebd0497f63325daa1 
NBC News )

Arizona, Alaska, Massachusetts, and Missouri will choose Republican delegates over the weekend.

A Rutgers-Eagleton poll shows Chris Christie with his lowest approval rating ever in New Jersey, at 26%. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=8ee9e667b517b40c0409cfc33f4cb64f81e5949c5dadb512be60215deee7b2a5 
release )

INDIANA PRIMARY: 4 days.

ELECTION DAY COUNTDOWN: 193 days.

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