Subject: Delaware bettor in a no-lose situation
From: "Eric Schwerin" <[email-masked]>
To: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>, "Rob Walker" <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 9 Oct 2010 14:02:07 -0400

Delaware bettor in a no-lose situation
POSTED: October 7, 2010

By DICK JERARDI

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POSTED: October 7, 2010
Delaware bettor in a no-lose situation

By DICK JERARDI
Philadelphia Daily News

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Imagine you could bet $50,000 on the Eagles on Sunday and be guaranteed of
winning. There is a player who made a 15-team NFL parlay bet at Harrington
Raceway in Delaware who is in exactly that can't-lose situation.

Delaware has a $5, 15-team parlay bet in which the payoff is $100,000. The
bettor who got his ticket at Harrington picked last weekend's 14 games
against the spread. And got them all right.

Because four teams had byes last week and there were not 16 games to find 15
bets, they carried one game over to this week.

That game is Eagles at 49ers on Sunday night. The player has the 49ers on
the parlay card in which he risked just $5 to win $100,000. He can bet
$50,000 on the Eagles, have both sides and ensure a $50,000 win.

On the original parlay card, the Eagles, after two straight wins and with a
hot Michael Vick, were three-point favorites. So, the Delaware player has
the 49ers, plus-three points.

After Sunday's debacle, Vick's injury and the winless 49ers' perceived
desperation, the 49ers are now three- to 3 1/2-point favorites.

If this bettor knows what is going on, he or she can fly to Nevada, bet
$50,000 in real money on the Eagles plus-3 and be ensured to win at least
$50,000. Or the bettor can do something similar in Delaware by betting a
series of four three-team parlay cards taking both sides of any two games
and the Eagles (who are 3 1/2-point underdogs on the new Delaware parlay
cards) on all four cards. The payout would be a little less in Delaware
because of the parlay-card odds.

What makes this even better for this player is he has a real chance to win
both bets.

If the 49ers win or lose by fewer than three points or it's a tie, he wins
$100,000 from the parlay. (Ties lose on this parlay card.) If he bets on the
Eagles and they win or lose by fewer than four points (if he plays the new
parlay cards or can get 3 1/2 by price shopping in Nevada), he wins the
$50,000 or whatever he chooses to bet.

In these scenarios - the Eagles win by one or two points, the 49ers win by
one, two or three points, a tie - he will win both bets and $150,000.

Does he or she have an idea of the gift that is out there? Does he know he
is alive? Does he have the $50,000? If not, could it be borrowed and paid
back very quickly?

Last year, one player hit the first 14 games, but lost the Monday night
game. He could have bet the other side and might have. But he did not have
the six-point "middle" this player has.

"The individual has 14 out of 14," said Tom Cook, Delaware's secretary of
finance, who does not know the player's identity. "This falls under the same
lottery rules. A winner can choose to be anonymous and not disclose. If the
individual were to win, they need to come to the lottery office to collect
their prize."

According to Cook, the Delaware lottery took in $13,720 (2,744 $5 tickets)
on the 15-team bet last weekend, so they have some exposure - $86,280, to be
exact.

But, if they take a short-term financial hit, the positive PR will be worth
it for the future of the parlay bets. Total handle is already up 118 percent
over a similar period last year.

The actual odds on a 15-team parlay are approximately 32,000-to-1. Delaware
is paying 20,000-to-1. In this special case, the odds have shifted
dramatically to the player. It is an actual bet that can't be lost. It is
simply a question of how much might be won.

Read more:
http://www.philly.com/philly/hp/sports/104471914.html?cmpid=15585797#ixzz11szHaUsh

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-- 
Eric D. Schwerin
Rosemont Seneca Partners
(202) 333-1880
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